Thursday, December 27, 2012

50 Behavioral Biases that cause Evolutionists to think Irrationally

(1) ATTENTIONAL BIAS - When someone focuses on only one or two choices despite there being multiple options or outcomes.

In the case of flipping a coin, landing on its edge may a very unlikely (but still possible) event, thus "heads or tails" seems an adequate set of options. However in typical coin tosses under uncontrolled conditions subject to human error, up to 30% of tosses actually result in disputes, due to insufficient specification of how to handle 'mis-tosses' etc. Often coins and dice fly off tables, people violate fair tosses in attempts to influence outcome, and uneven surfaces or poor tossing cause ambiguous rolls.

Evolutionist propagandists attempt similar choice restrictions concerning possible options when they insist (a) that their personal theories are true, and (b) that the only alternative choice is 'Young-Earth Creationism', or non-scientific superstition, and (c) they refuse to investigate alternative possibilities and/or variations on the accepted versions of the Evolution theme.


(2) The
Availability Heuristic - is where people overestimate the importance of limited information that is available to them.

One example would be a person who argues that smoking is not unhealthy on the basis that his grandfather lived to 100 and smoked three packs a day, an argument that ignores the possibility that his grandfather was an 'outlier', i.e., a person lying statistically near the edges of a more complete bell curve.

Evolutionists have historically viewed mankind as 'descending' from early apes, on the basis of broad and superficial similarities, such as bilateral symmetry, mammalian classification, toe-counts, bipedalism, depth perspective, when recent evidence suggests several overriding problems with this view: (a) lack of a clear geographical basis for the evolution, (b) lack of transitional forms for a history, (c) complexity of the DNA evidence and its accompanying problems, (d) the general statistical similarity of DNA across very divergent and distantly related animals, (e) lack of a coherent treatment or scientific methodology for measuring similarity or difference in DNA coding.


(3) Backfire effect - When you reject evidence that contradicts your point of view or statement, even if you know it's true.

A good example of this is how Evolutionists have treated the question of Birds and their evolution. Early fossils were first regarded as 'transitional' forms on a path from dinosaur/reptile to modern bird. Subsequently true bird fossils were discovered anti-dating those alleged transitional fossils by millions of years. Yet no significant revision of the theory or the position of birds on the Evolutionary Tree as descendants of dinosaurs has been made.


(4) Bandwagon effect - The probability of one person adopting a belief increases based on the number of people who hold that belief. This is a powerful form of groupthink.

Evolutionists constantly appeal to 'the majority of scientists' supposed allegiance to standard Evolutionary theory (i.e., Darwinism and 'Natural Selection'), when the true situation is far more likely to be similar to the personal commitment of individuals found in surveying religions and denominations. That is, the majority of people will be uncommitted or uninterested in the question, with population numbers rapidly dwindling as commitment to the ideology rises, and detailed knowledge is required. As in all politics, people will tend to sign onto the Status Quo position for reasons of expediency regardless of their personal commitments.


(5) Belief bias - A bias where people make faulty conclusions based on what they already believe or know. For instance, one might conclude that all tiger sharks are sharks, and all sharks are animals, and therefore all animals are tiger sharks.

Just as people tend to uncritically accept the beliefs and opinions of their culture and educational system for long periods in their lives, so associations will also bias belief.

Evolution is widely believed among those educated in the West, because it has been made an important part of their curriculum and it has been heavily associated with science and technology, even though 90% of scientific knowledge and technological advance has no basis in Evolutionary theory, and the belief in Evolution is not required for or relevant to any modern scientific discipline or technology.


(6) Bias blind spots
- If you fail to realize your own cognitive biases, you have a bias blind spot. Everyone thinks they're not as biased as people may think, which is a cognitive bias itself.

Independent tests for bias however show that all individuals have significant biases that prevent them from making accurate observations or logical conclusions. Evolutionists are no exceptions.


(7) Choice-supportive bias
- A bias in which you think positive things about a choice once you made it, even if that choice has flaws. You may say positive things about the dog you just bought and ignore that the dog bites people.

Here is a classic bias Atheists have which is very transparent. Evolution is the preferred theory because it suggests that people are not morally or ethically answerable to any higher authority. There would be no consequences for immoral or unethical behavior beyond interference by others in competition for resources and power. A criminal in such an ethical vacuum does not have remorse for crime but simply regrets getting caught.


(8) Clustering illusion - To conclude that data contains a "streak" or "cluster" when that set is actually random.

For instance in basketball, the hot hand effect is the belief that a player who has hit several shots in a row is more likely to hit the next shot.
This is also called the gambler's fallacy, where one thinks a winning number is "due."

Like many probability illusions, the Clustering Illusion is based on faulty reasoning and estimates of probability, due to a misunderstanding of forces and constraints.

Evolution is a NON-predictive 'theory' because nothing that has occurred before or which can be presumed to be true can be used to predict what direction things will evolve in next. Because its entirely unpredictive beyond the vaguest generalizations, it is not a true scientific theory in any practical sense. Scientific theories are falsifiable, because they have specific consequences which bear on their accuracy and truth.

One can study 'Evolution' endlessly and fail to predict or discover any subsequent event in its specific form, which would substantiate the key elements of the theory.


(9) Confirmation bias - A tendency people have to believe certain information that confirms what they think or believe in.

This bias is well-known, and is why Evolutionists insist on teaching their theories and beliefs to children, while they are not yet in a state of critical thinking, and are vulnerable to accepting falsehoods and unsubstantiated claims.

If an Evolutionist has been brought up in the Western educational system, it is likely that he is heavily biased in favour of the theory, because these thinking patterns have been formed long before he developed a capacity for critical thinking.

In general, a person who has no personal experience with or has paid no attention to directed, controlled or guided forces in their life will tend to believe that such forces do not exist, even when they are actually operating.

A person who does not detect authorities collecting intelligence on them, monitoring their activities, or guiding their employment opportunities, will not suspect or believe that governments and authorities do in fact engage in such activities in significant amounts. When suddenly confronted with the idea, that person will reject it out of hand as 'paranoia' or 'conspiracy theory' talk.


(10) Conservatism bias - Where people believe prior evidence more than new evidence or information that emerged. People were slow to accept the fact that the earth was round because they tended to believe earlier information that it was flat.

This type of bias is seen strongly among proponents of Evolutionary theory, whereby 'Natural Selection' continues to be heralded as the most important or only force at work in real evolution, even though this idea, was conceived by Malthus and Darwin long before there was anything like a scientific method or framework to evaluate it.

All subsequent evidence that goes against 'Natural Selection' or suggests other forces might be at work that are just as powerful is dismissed as irrelevant, as though the theory was born 'perfect' at its inception at the dawn of the scientific era.

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